This bibliography is incomplete, but is intended to capture as best I can a fairly robust sample of key sources of published scientific articles from the independent scientists, researchers and analysts themselves, without relying on international or national agencies or organizations such as the IPCC, the conclusions of which may be compromised by issues such as scientific reticence or the political process involved in such collaborative research, among other issues. Instead, the intention here is to provide sources from the experts who have demonstrated the willingness to be extraordinarily candid.
My apologies if accreditation doesn't follow standard protocols, but my goal is simply to provide a concise yet reasonably thorough source for people to educate themselves from some of the key research that is available.
Though the focus of this page is on climate scientists, at the end, I have included a partial list of some blogs from independent thinkers, polymaths and the like, those who clearly have a much-better-than-average understanding and appreciation for complex systems dynamics, who I believe have best captured the ecological, societal, and civilizational implications of the climate science referred to here.
Please see the sidebar for other links, and see also past blog posts, in particular those with the keyword reference articles included.
Bibliography
Climate Science
Agencies
Resources
Climate Scientists:
Kevin Anderson: http://kevinanderson.info/blog/home-2/
Johan Rockstrom: https://www.pik-potsdam.de/members/johanro
Stefan Rahmstorf: http://www.pik-potsdam.de/~stefan/
James Hansen: http://csas.ei.columbia.edu/blog/ & http://www.columbia.edu/~jeh1/
Hans Joachim Schellnhuber: https://www.pik-potsdam.de/members/john/public
James Anderson: https://climatechange.environment.harvard.edu/james-anderson & https://www.arp.harvard.edu/
Andrew Glikson:http://climatechangepsychology.blogspot.com/2008/11/andrew-glikson-21st-century-climate.html
James White: https://instaar.colorado.edu/galleries/how-climate-works-by-dr-jim-white/
Glen Peters: https://www.cicero.oslo.no/en/employee/30/glen-peters
Tim Osborn: https://crudata.uea.ac.uk/~timo/papepages/publist.htm
Eric Rignot: https://faculty.sites.uci.edu/erignot/
Jason Box: https://www.jasonbox.net/
Other Authors:
Lester Brown: Plan B 4.0: Mobilizing to Save Civilization. 2009.
Bill McKibben: http://billmckibben.com/articles.html
Richard Heinberg: http://richardheinberg.com/
Clive Hamilton: https://clivehamilton.com/papers/
Vaclav Smil: http://vaclavsmil.com/publications/
Naomi Klein: https://naomiklein.org/on-fire/ & https://naomiklein.org/this-changes-everything/
Al Bartlett: https://www.albartlett.org/books/essential_exponential.html
Videos, Graphics, Data:
A Brief History of CO2 Emissions. Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research. Sept. 2017.
Climate Spirals. Open Climate Data.
Trends in Atmospheric CO2. Earth System Research Laboratory, NOAA.
Our World in Data.
Sites:
Climate Emergency Institute.
Climate Code Red. David Spratt.
Global Carbon Project.
Global Warming.
The Great Decoupling. Rob Jackson, Glen Peters et al. July 2017.
Blogs:
Tim Garrett: http://nephologue.blogspot.com/ & http://www.inscc.utah.edu/~tgarrett/Economics/About.html
Tim Morgan: https://surplusenergyeconomics.wordpress.com/
Nate Hagens: http://www.themonkeytrap.us/
Tad Patzek: http://patzek-lifeitself.blogspot.com/
Rob Mielcarski: https://un-denial.com/
George Mobus: https://questioneverything.typepad.com/
Paul Chefurka: http://www.paulchefurka.ca/
Ugo Bardi: https://cassandralegacy.blogspot.com/
Jean-Marc Jancovici : https://jancovici.com/en/
Rick Nolthenius : https://www.cabrillo.edu/~rnolthenius/astro7/A7PowerIndex.html
Tom Murphy: https://dothemath.ucsd.edu/ (sadly, Prof. Murphy’s seems to have gone dormant since 2015)
Mike @: https://collapseofindustrialcivilization.com/
Tim Watkins: http://consciousnessofsheep.co.uk/
James @: http://megacancer.com/
Gail Zawacki : http://witsendnj.blogspot.com/
Mike Stasse: https://damnthematrix.wordpress.com/
Jack Alpert: http://www.skil.org//position_papers_folder/TourlectureSKILconcepts.html
Jem Bendell: https://jembendell.wordpress.com/
Geoffrey Chia @: http://www.doomsteaddiner.net/blog/author/geoffrey-chia/
Paul Beckwith: https://paulbeckwith.net/
Albert Bates: https://www.albertbates.cool/blogger
Robbie Andrew: http://folk.uio.no/roberan/learnmore/about_robbie.shtml
Extra & Related:
Club of Rome: Limits to Growth. 1972. PDF.
Randers, Meadows and Meadows: Limits to Growth: The 30-Year Update. PDF.
My apologies if accreditation doesn't follow standard protocols, but my goal is simply to provide a concise yet reasonably thorough source for people to educate themselves from some of the key research that is available.
Though the focus of this page is on climate scientists, at the end, I have included a partial list of some blogs from independent thinkers, polymaths and the like, those who clearly have a much-better-than-average understanding and appreciation for complex systems dynamics, who I believe have best captured the ecological, societal, and civilizational implications of the climate science referred to here.
Please see the sidebar for other links, and see also past blog posts, in particular those with the keyword reference articles included.
Bibliography
Climate Science
Authors, various.
World Scientists’ Warning to Humanity. 1992.
World Scientists’ Warning to Humanity: A Second Notice. 2017.
Alley, Richard.
Abrupt climate change. 2003.
How high will the seas rise? 2016.
A heated mirror for future climate. 2016.
Anderson, James.
Recasting the climate debate: feedbacks that set the timescale for irreversible change. 2014.
Anderson, Kevin.
Reframing the climate change challenge in light of post-2000 emission trends. 2008.
From long-term targets to cumulative emission pathways: reframing UK climate policy. 2008.
Beyond ‘dangerous’ climate change: emission scenarios for a new world. 2011.
A new paradigm for climate change. 2012.
Duality in climate science. 2015.
The trouble with negative emissions. 2016.
What if ‘negative emission technologies’ (NETs) fail at scale: Implications of the Paris Agreement for big emitting nations. 2017.
Barnosky, Anthony.
Approaching a state shift in Earth’s biosphere. 2012.
Box, Jason.
The urgency of Arctic change. 2018.
Broecker, Wallace.
Climatic Change: Are We on the Brink of a Pronounced Global Warming? 1975.
Clark, Peter.
Consequences of 21st-century policy for multi-millennial climate and sea-level change. 2016.
Crutzen, Paul.
The Anthropocene. 2006.
The Anthropocene: Are humans now overwhelming the great forces of nature? 2007.
Farquharson, Louise.
Climate Change Drives Widespread and Rapid Thermokarst Development in Very Cold Permafrost in the Canadian High Arctic. 2019.
Fowler, Charles.
Is humanity sustainable? 2003. (with Larry Hobbs)
Glikson, Andrew.
The advent of extreme weather events and climate tipping points. 2019.
A Revision of Future Climate Change Trends. 2019.
Goreau, Thomas.
The other half of the global carbon dioxide problem. 1987.
Global Biogeochemical Restoration to Stabilize CO2 at Safe Levels in Time to Avoid Severe Climate Change Impacts to Earth’s Life Support Systems: Implications for the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change. 2014.
Hansen, James.
Climate change in a nutshell. Dec. 18, 2018.
Young people’s burden: requirement of negative CO2 emissions. 2017.
Ice melt, sea level rise and superstorms: evidence from paleoclimate data, climate modeling, and modern observations that 2C global warming could be dangerous. 2016.
Making things clearer: exaggeration, jumping the gun, and the Venus Syndrome. 2013.
Climate forcing growth rates: doubling down on our Faustian bargain. 2013.
Assessing “dangerous climate change”: Required reduction of carbon emissions to protect young people, future generations and nature. 2013.
Climate sensitivity, sea level, and atmospheric carbon dioxide. 2013.
Climate sensitivity in the Anthropocene. 2013.
Paleoclimate implications for human-made climate change. 2012.
Earth's energy imbalance and implications. 2011.
Global surface temperature change. 2010.
Tipping point: Perspective of a climatologist. 2008.
Target atmospheric CO2: Where should humanity aim? 2008.
Scientific reticence and sea level rise. 2007.
Climate catastrophe. 2007.
Dangerous human-made interference with climate: A GISS modelE study. 2007.
A slippery slope: How much global warming constitutes "dangerous anthropogenic interference"? An editorial essay. 2005.
Defusing the global warming time bomb. 2004.
Can we defuse the global warming time bomb? 2003.
The ice-core record: Climate sensitivity and future greenhouse warming. 1990.
Climate impact of increasing atmospheric carbon dioxide. 1981.
Holmes, Jonathan.
Rapid climate change: lessons from the recent geological past. 2011.
Hulbe, Christina.
Is ice sheet collapse in West Antarctica unstoppable? 2017.
Jackson, R.B.
Global energy growth is outpacing decarbonization. 2018.
Larkin, Alice.
What if negative emission technologies fail at scale? Implications of the Paris Agreement for big emitting nations. 2017.
Lenton, Timothy.
Tipping elements in the Earth’s climate system. 2008. (with Rahmstorf and Schellnuber)
Early warning of climate tipping points. 2011.
Detecting and Anticipating Climate Tipping Points. 2015.
Le Quere, Corinne.
Global Carbon Budget 2018.
Mann, Michael.
Global-scale temperature patterns and climate forcing over the past six centuries. 1998.
Marcott, Shaun.
Centennial-scale changes in the global carbon cycle during the last deglaciation. 2014.
Mayewski, Paul A.
Holocene climate variability. 2004.
Meinshausen, Malte.
Historical greenhouse gas concentrations for climate modelling (CMIP6). 2017.
Oppenheimer, Michael.
The limits of consensus. 2007.
Evaluation, characterization, and communication of uncertainty by the intergovernmental panel on climate change—an introductory essay. 2011.
The rapid disintegration of projections: The West Antarctic Ice Sheet and the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. 2012.
IPCC reasons for concern regarding climate change risks. 2017.
The social cost of carbon: a global imperative. 2017.
Peters, Glen.
The challenge to keep global warming below 2C. 2012.
Reaching peak emissions. 2015.
Rahmstorf, Stefan.
Rapid changes of glacial climate simulated in a coupled climate model. 2001.
Recent Climate Observations Compared to Projections. 2007.
Abrupt climate change. 2009.
A decade of weather extremes. 2012.
Rees, William.
Our ecological footprint. 1996.
What’s blocking sustainability? Human nature, cognition and denial. 2010.
Avoiding Collapse: An agenda for sustainable degrowth and relocalizing the economy. 2014.
Rignot, Eric.
Widespread, rapid grounding line retreat of Pine Island, Thwaites, Smith, and Kohler glaciers, West Antarctica, from 1992 to 2011. 2014.
Rapid submarine ice melting in the grounding zones of ice shelves in West Antarctica. 2016.
Four decades of Antarctic Ice Sheet mass balance from 1979-2017. 2019.
Rockstrom, Johan.
Planetary boundaries: Exploring the safe operating space for humanity. 2009. (with Hansen, Steffen, Lenton, Schellnhuber, Crutzen et al)
A safe operating space for humanity. 2009. (ditto)
Climate change: the necessary, the possible and the desirable. 2014.
Natural capital and ecosystem services informing decisions: From promise to practice. 2015.
The world’s biggest gamble. 2016.
A roadmap for rapid decarbonization. 2017.
Rogelj, Joeri.
Energy system transformations for limiting end-of-century warming to below 1.5C. 2015.
Schellnhuber, Hans Joachim.
Disentangling the effects of CO2 and short-lived climate forcer mitigation. 2014.
System crash as dynamics of complex networks. 2016.
Closing the loop: reconnecting human dynamics to Earth system analysis. 2017.
The limits to global-warming mitigation by terrestrial carbon removal. 2017.
Three years to safeguard our climate. 2017.
Club of Rome Climate Emergency Plan. 2018.
Shakhova, Natalia.
Extensive Methane Venting to the Atmosphere from Sediments of the East Siberian Arctic Shelf. 2010.
Current rates and mechanisms of subsea permafrost degradation in the East Siberian Arctic Shelf. 2017.
Steffen, Will.
The trajectory of the Anthropocene: The Great Acceleration. 2015.
Trajectories of the Earth System in the Anthropocene. 2018.
Strona, Giovanni.
Co-extinctions annihilate planetary life during extreme environmental change. 2018.
Trenberth, Kevin.
An imperative to monitor Earth’s energy imbalance. 2016.
Wadhams, Peter.
The global impacts of rapidly disappearing Arctic sea ice. 2016.
White, Jim.
Thoughts on abrupt climate change, as in 30 years, not 100. 2014.
Wilson, Edward O.
Is humanity suicidal? 1993.
Agencies
Environment and Climate Change Canada.
Technical Update to Environment and Climate Change Canada’s Social Cost of Greenhouse Gas Estimates. 2016.
Canada’s Changing Climate Report. 2019.
National Research Council / National Academies Press.
Changing Climate: Report of the Carbon Dioxide Assessment Committee. 1983.
Abrupt Climate Change: Inevitable Surprises. 2002.
Understanding Earth’s Deep Past: Lessons for our Climate Future. 2011.
Abrupt Climate Change: Anticipating Surprises. 2013.
Valuing Climate Damages: Updating Estimation of the Social Cost of Carbon Dioxide. 2017.
OECD.
Climate Change Risks and Adaptation: Linking Policy and Economics. 2015.
The Economic Consequences of Climate Change. 2015.
World Bank.
Turn Down the Heat: Why a 4°C Warmer World Must be Avoided. 2012.
Turn Down the Heat: Climate Extremes, Regional Impacts, and the Case for Resilience. 2013.
Turn Down the Heat: Confronting the New Climate Normal. 2014.
Resources
Climate Scientists:
Kevin Anderson: http://kevinanderson.info/blog/home-2/
Johan Rockstrom: https://www.pik-potsdam.de/members/johanro
Stefan Rahmstorf: http://www.pik-potsdam.de/~stefan/
James Hansen: http://csas.ei.columbia.edu/blog/ & http://www.columbia.edu/~jeh1/
Hans Joachim Schellnhuber: https://www.pik-potsdam.de/members/john/public
James Anderson: https://climatechange.environment.harvard.edu/james-anderson & https://www.arp.harvard.edu/
Andrew Glikson:http://climatechangepsychology.blogspot.com/2008/11/andrew-glikson-21st-century-climate.html
James White: https://instaar.colorado.edu/galleries/how-climate-works-by-dr-jim-white/
Glen Peters: https://www.cicero.oslo.no/en/employee/30/glen-peters
Tim Osborn: https://crudata.uea.ac.uk/~timo/papepages/publist.htm
Eric Rignot: https://faculty.sites.uci.edu/erignot/
Jason Box: https://www.jasonbox.net/
Other Authors:
Lester Brown: Plan B 4.0: Mobilizing to Save Civilization. 2009.
Bill McKibben: http://billmckibben.com/articles.html
Richard Heinberg: http://richardheinberg.com/
Clive Hamilton: https://clivehamilton.com/papers/
Vaclav Smil: http://vaclavsmil.com/publications/
Naomi Klein: https://naomiklein.org/on-fire/ & https://naomiklein.org/this-changes-everything/
Al Bartlett: https://www.albartlett.org/books/essential_exponential.html
Videos, Graphics, Data:
A Brief History of CO2 Emissions. Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research. Sept. 2017.
Climate Spirals. Open Climate Data.
Trends in Atmospheric CO2. Earth System Research Laboratory, NOAA.
Our World in Data.
Sites:
Climate Emergency Institute.
Climate Code Red. David Spratt.
Global Carbon Project.
Global Warming.
The Great Decoupling. Rob Jackson, Glen Peters et al. July 2017.
Blogs:
Tim Garrett: http://nephologue.blogspot.com/ & http://www.inscc.utah.edu/~tgarrett/Economics/About.html
Tim Morgan: https://surplusenergyeconomics.wordpress.com/
Nate Hagens: http://www.themonkeytrap.us/
Tad Patzek: http://patzek-lifeitself.blogspot.com/
Rob Mielcarski: https://un-denial.com/
George Mobus: https://questioneverything.typepad.com/
Paul Chefurka: http://www.paulchefurka.ca/
Ugo Bardi: https://cassandralegacy.blogspot.com/
Jean-Marc Jancovici : https://jancovici.com/en/
Rick Nolthenius : https://www.cabrillo.edu/~rnolthenius/astro7/A7PowerIndex.html
Tom Murphy: https://dothemath.ucsd.edu/ (sadly, Prof. Murphy’s seems to have gone dormant since 2015)
Mike @: https://collapseofindustrialcivilization.com/
Tim Watkins: http://consciousnessofsheep.co.uk/
James @: http://megacancer.com/
Gail Zawacki : http://witsendnj.blogspot.com/
Mike Stasse: https://damnthematrix.wordpress.com/
Jack Alpert: http://www.skil.org//position_papers_folder/TourlectureSKILconcepts.html
Jem Bendell: https://jembendell.wordpress.com/
Geoffrey Chia @: http://www.doomsteaddiner.net/blog/author/geoffrey-chia/
Paul Beckwith: https://paulbeckwith.net/
Albert Bates: https://www.albertbates.cool/blogger
Robbie Andrew: http://folk.uio.no/roberan/learnmore/about_robbie.shtml
Extra & Related:
Club of Rome: Limits to Growth. 1972. PDF.
Randers, Meadows and Meadows: Limits to Growth: The 30-Year Update. PDF.
No comments:
Post a Comment